How economic anxiety, tariffs, and government cuts are fracturing Trump's coalition in competitive Congressional districts
Download Full ReportWe interviewed 5,306 voters by phone and surveyed 2,756 online between April 1-15, 2025 in 19 competitive Congressional districts and 5 Senate states. Voters were selected from registered voter lists with 13 districts currently held by Republicans and 6 by Democrats.
Jobs and the economy was the top issue for voters across the partisan spectrum, with tariffs and prices as key concerns
Majority of voters believe the economy is headed in the wrong direction
The wipes that I buy for my baby have gone up two dollars. President Trump has been championing a better economy his whole campaign and I hope he backs his promises. I'm not really sure what's going on politically, I just know everything is going up almost every day.
White woman in her 20s, Strong Republican, Pennsylvania 10th
This tariff stuff is crushing me. The billionaires don't care. They don't need the money. Make sure to put down that this tariff stuff is outrageous.
White man in his 30s, Strong Republican, North Carolina 1st
He has personally hurt every retiree that's invested in the stock market.
White man in his 70s, Strong Republican, Michigan 7th
He acts like he knows what he's doing, but he's bankrupted every company he's ever run and he's destroying this country.
White woman in her 30s, Strong Democrat, Pennsylvania 10th
These tariffs are going to kill a lot of people in my opinion, between food and medication.
White man in his 20s, Unknown Voter, Colorado 8th
Tariffs got people scared and they don't know what to do.
White man in his 70s, Strong Democrat, Alaska-AL
I was just watching the news about these tariffs. It's like he wants to create a recession on purpose.
Hispanic woman in her 20s, California 45th
He only made a turnaround with tariffs because he almost blew everything that quick. I lost $10,000 in a week. (Trump) caused the world to go into a panic.
White woman in her 60s, Unknown Voter, New York 4th
Trump tariffs have screwed everybody.
White woman in her 50s, Strong Republican, Pennsylvania 10th
Increased costs, tariffs are killing small businesses, the quality of life will continue to spiral downwards.
White man in his 40s, registered Republican/swing voter, California 13th
Strong Republicans approve of Trump's economic leadership but are anxious about their personal finances
I voted for Trump this time because of the economy and the stimulus from last time–he needs to focus on the Americans who suffer. … He's tone deaf.
White woman in her 50s, Leans Republican, Pennsylvania 8th
The trade war is (already) affecting us and the tariffs just got put in place.
White man in his 30s, Strong Republican, Iowa 1st
All this talk about tariffs has definitely affected the stock market negatively, therefore my 401(k) and retirement has suffered.
White man in his 40s, Strong Republican, Pennsylvania 10th
He has a plan, he's not a dummie, he's financially successful. People just need to listen to his strategies.
White woman in her 60s, Leans Republican, Pennsylvania 8th
I'm anxious (about personal finances). I think long term, things will be better… But the economy is moving in a good direction. The tariffs will be a good thing.
White man in his 60s, Strong Republican, Pennsylvania 10th
The market will be down by the end of the year, and prices will escalate … but things will start improving next year.
White man in his 60s, Strong Republican, Iowa 1st
Voters across the partisan spectrum oppose cuts to government programs
Bipartisan agreement on protecting retirement and veteran benefits
Republican members of Congress in these communities should be nervous. Their voters, even their base voters, are anxious and unhappy with the effect of Trump's first 100 days in office.
Download Full ReportDownload and share these graphics to highlight key findings from our research